Well, the storm on Friday night and Saturday was a disappointment, only bringing a dusting to an inch to Steamboat, and not the 2-4 inches that I was expecting. Every storm is an opportunity to figure out why the atmosphere brings more snow to certain mountains and not others. In this case, the higher-elevation mountains just to the east of Steamboat received 3-7 inches of snow, and I think the reason that Steamboat did not get more snow was the lack of cooling during this storm. Going forward, if I see moisture, energy, and cooling temperatures during a storm, I will forecast healthy snowfall for all northern mountains. However, like the last storm, if I only see moisture, energy, and no cooling or just a bit of cooling, I’ll confine significant snow to the forecast for the higher elevations along the divide and not for Steamboat.
Moving on, Sunday will be a partly sunny and dry day. Then a disorganized storm should bring more clouds and a few snow showers on Monday and Monday night. Some high-resolution models show a burst of snow (1-3 inches) on Monday afternoon or evening for a narrow area along or just north of I-70. My confidence is low that this will happen at Steamboat, but if it does, the groomers could be soft on Tuesday morning.
The next storm cycle will hit the western US later this week and during the weekend, but the newest models are slowing the arrival of this system. Expect an initial wave of light snow on Wednesday night or Thursday, and then we’ll likely need to wait until Saturday night through Sunday night for more significant snow and colder air. My pick for the best powder days are Sunday and Monday, though stay tuned as this storm could slow even further, which could push back this forecast by a day or so.
NOAA, Mount Werner-
Today: Sunny, with a high near 32. North wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest after midnight.
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 32. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 20. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south in the evening.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 36. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 26.
Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42.
Wednesday Night: A slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.