Looking like a couple reports of some showers across the upper elevations, but not much down lower. The low pressure has moved into North Dakota and up into Manitoba, and we're left with a couple of awesome weather days!! The jet stream or main flow will be across the Pacific Northwest and into the northern Rockies through the end of the week and into the weekend with the tail end of a system clipping us Saturday with a slight chance of a brief shower or thunderstorm.…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 14, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments
A much cooler air mass is over the area this morning, and the low pressure moving northeastward across western Wyoming and up into Montana. I kept a slight chance of a shower in the forecast, but I'm not expecting much, at all. A drier air mass and warmer over the next couple of days. Another system will clip the area later Friday and Saturday with the lifted index dropping to -2, so a very slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm, and then Sunday into early next week is…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 13, 2017 at 10:51am — No Comments
The low pressure is centered southwest of Ely, Nevada early this morning, and the projected path takes it northeastward across northern Utah, west central Wyoming and then up into eastern Montana. The models keep us in the drier wedge of air, but can't rule out an isolated thunderstorm this afternoon, and a chance of a couple of showers tomorrow. We will see breezy winds both today and tomorrow with speeds from mid resort to the top in the 25 to 35 mph range from the…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 12, 2017 at 9:03am — No Comments
A dry, stable air mass over us for the next couple of days with an unusually strong low pressure moving into the West. We'll see some breezy winds, especially during the afternoon hours and it's warm over the next couple of days. As the low pressure moves northeastward toward Montana, it'll bring some cooler air into the area, but the models keep us dry through early next week.
NOAA - Steamboat Springs
Today - Sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 9, 2017 at 8:41am — No Comments
The air mass mass is drier and more stable over the next couple of days! Low pressure moving into the Pacific Northwest is resulting in more of a southwest flow of air and ushering a drier, more stable air mass. The low pressure will push eastward bringing a cooler air mass early next week with a slight chance of. a shower or thunderstorm on Monday.
NOAA - Storm Peak Observatory
Today - Sunny, with a high near 82. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 8, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments
Projecting a -4 lifted index this afternoon, so I'm expecting another fairly active day with showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure is approaching the West Coast, and this will push a drier and more stable air mass into our area tomorrow and into the weekend. This low pressure will make it into our area Monday through Wednesday with a much cooler air mass and a chance of showers.
Joe is calling for a Low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 4 pm and a Moderate…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 7, 2017 at 9:00am — No Comments
It was fairly active yesterday and it's looking similar today and tomorrow. The air mass does dry out and stablize on Thursdaay through Saturday, but then a slight chance of a late afternoon thunderstorm on Sunday.
NOAA - Steamboat Springs
Today - Isolated showers between 11 am and noon, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 6, 2017 at 8:37am — No Comments
The satellite images show a system moving northeastward across Montana, but it does extend southward with just enough moisture and lift over northwest Colorado for an increase in thunderstorms over the next couple of days. We see the lifted index drop to -3 the next couple of days, then to -4 Wednesday afternoon. We stabilize and dry out some Thursday through Saturday.
Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 4 pm, a moderate chance from 4 pm…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 5, 2017 at 8:41am — No Comments
A very weak system will move across us today, and the air mass is most unstable late this morning and early afternoon, and stabilizes later in the afternoon and evening. The air mass is cooler today, but will be warming tomorrow and Sunday. Another weak system later Sunday and Monday will bring a slight chance of a thunderstorm, but the overnight models are weaker with this system, so I'll stay with a slight chance of an afternoon shower or…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 2, 2017 at 8:53am — No Comments
We should see a fairly active pattern over the area this afternoon and into tomorrow, but the air mass will be stablizing tomorrow, and that means less coverage of showers and thunderstorms. We're looking awesome Saturday and most of Sunday, but a slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm later in the afternoon. Another front moves into the area on Monday bringing another increase in the chance of showers and storms.
NOAA - Steamboat Springs
Today - Isolated…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on June 1, 2017 at 8:58am — No Comments
A couple of potentially active weather days with the lifted index dropping to -3, and a system moving in from the west later today and tomorrow. So, I'll bump the chance of showers and thunderstorms today and keep it fairly high tomorrow. A decrease in activity Friday, then looking really nice on Saturday. Another system by Monday and Tuesday will increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 8…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 31, 2017 at 8:31am — No Comments
A little warmer over the next couple of days with the lifted index of -2 this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon, so like yesterday, we'll see a couple of showers and an isolated thunderstorm. A more organized system will move across the area on Thursday with an increase in the coverage of showers and thunderstorms. Minimal activity on Friday and Saturday, then an uptick in activity on Sunday and into early next week.
NOAA - Steamboat Springs
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 30, 2017 at 8:29am — No Comments
Fairly active over the last 24 hours and we still have a little more energy to deal with, as low pressure is located over southern Idaho. This system will continue to work with the moisture over the area, and the lifted index drops to -3, so definitely a risk of a couple of thunderstorms today and tomorrow. The air mass wants to dry out and stabilize Sunday through Wednesday, but the models generate some convective activity each afternoon and early evening. So, I'll add a…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 26, 2017 at 9:08am — No Comments
An area of low pressure over the northern Rockies will push southward today and tomorrow, and the radar has shown a fairly significant increase in shower activity since midnight. Certainly unstable enough for a chance of a thunderstorm today, tomorrow and Saturday, then we should see a drier and more stable air mass Sunday through early next week. I hesitated taking the chance of an afternoon thunderstorm out altogether, as I could see an isolated development.
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 25, 2017 at 9:19am — No Comments
Low pressure has moved into southern British Columbia and the Pacific Northwest, and will push a cold front across our area later tonight and tomorrow bringing showers and thunderstorms along with a much cooler air mass. The showers and thunderstorms are likely into Friday, then decrease early in the weekend, as the air mass stabilizes.
NOAA - Steamboat Springs
Today - Sunny, with a high near 70. Light and variable wind becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 24, 2017 at 8:00am — No Comments
The system that brought the showers yesterday is now well east of us and we'll see lots of sunshine today, and again tomorrow with a much warmer air mass over the region tonight and tomorrow. Now, I put a very slight chance of a thunderstorm in the forecast later tomorrow afternoon and evening with a lifted index of -2 or -3, but certainly a better chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday, then a scattering of activity Friday and Saturday.
NOAA - Steamboat…
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 23, 2017 at 8:46am — No Comments
We had one system pass late yesterday and overnight, and it's a quiet morning! We have one more system that is moving southward into the area later this morning and afternoon bringing more clouds and a chance of a couple of showers. The air mass isn't as unstable as it was yesterday, but still enough for an isolated thunderstorm. High pressure and warmer thru Wednesday, then a couple of system Thursday through Saturday will bring more showers and thunderstorms, along with…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 22, 2017 at 8:00am — No Comments
Still considerable cloudiness moving across us today, but the more northeasterly winds has decreased the amount of precipitation. We'll see more breaks tonight and tomorrow morning, but more clouds tomorrow and Sunday with another system dropping southward across the area. This system isn't as cold, but with the lifted index of -3 we'll see some thunderstorms. I do see a couple of nice weather days next week where we see the sun and warm up a little, but at the end of the…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 19, 2017 at 9:16am — No Comments
Welcome to winter in May! Definitely a strong low pressure moving across the area, and the surface pressure gradient is still from the northwest this morning and into early afternoon, so I expect more snow to fall today. The surface gradient and winds aloft are all from the north- northeast this afternoon, tonight and early tomorrow, so we should see less precipitation. We try to dry out on Saturday, but still a slight chance of an isolated shower. Another weaker system…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 18, 2017 at 8:54am — No Comments
The approaching cold front is right along the Utah - Colorado border and will reach us later this morning or early afternoon with a colder air mass right behind it. The cold, moist air mass remains tomorrow, and the biggest issue is the wind flow pattern with "most" models showing a more northerly flow and this isn't very favorable for precipitation. There are a couple of models that have a more northwest flow and this would be better for a more significant storm. I'll…Continue
Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on May 17, 2017 at 10:39am — No Comments