All Blog Posts Tagged 'weather' (896)

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Friday, August 18, 2017

Joe Nicholls

We're looking like we're in a fairly quiet weather pattern today and tomorrow with the models showing some showers down by I-70. We'll gradually see the moisture spread northward, but I don't see much more than scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms through early in the week.

No chance of thunderstorms today.

NOAA - Steamboat Springs

TodaySunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 18, 2017 at 9:07am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Thursday, August 17, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The dew points are dropping, and the atmosphere is trying to dry and stablize. Still a slight chance of a brief shower or thunderstorm today, but most of the activity will be south of the area. In fact, through early next week, just enough moisture and instability to mention an isolated thunderstorm, but I wouldn't really change any outdoor plans.



Given the discussion, Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 6 pm.

NOAA - Steamboat…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 17, 2017 at 8:41am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Joe Nicholls

After a couple of active weather days, should be much quieter over the next couple of days. The satellite images show a system over Nevada that isn't handled well by the models, so I'm keeping a very slight chance in the forecast, but anything today or tomorrow is pretty isolated and likely not to stay around for very long.



Joe predicts a low chance of thunderstorms from 4 to 8 pm today.

NOAA - Steamboat Springs

Today - Scattered sprinkles before…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 16, 2017 at 8:31am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Joe Nicholls

There's still some light showers over the region this morning and likely to see some development this afternoon. We begin to dry and stablize the air mass tomorrow with more isolated development, then Thursday and Friday are looking like awesome weather days! We'll see a return of enough moisture and instability over the weekend for some isolated afternoon thunderstorms.

Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 8 pm.

NOAA - Steamboat…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 15, 2017 at 8:38am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Monday, August 14, 2017

Joe Nicholls

A fairly decent cold front front has moved into the northern Rockies and trails back across southern Idaho and into northern Nevada. This system will continue southeastward bringing an increase in clouds along with some showers and thunderstorms. The front will push down toward I-70 later tomorrow and Wednesday, and as long as it stays there, we should see a couple of nice weather days. The problem, is that there's a tendency for these washed out fronts to push back…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 14, 2017 at 12:36pm — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Friday, August 11, 2017

Joe Nicholls

I've had to adjust some timing and a little of the thought process with this forecast. The air mass is still fairly moist and unstable enough for a couple of showers and thunderstorms. There's a little activity this morning, then this should decrease a little later this morning and during the early afternoon, then come back later in the afternoon and evening. The bigger adjustment is for tomorrow afternoon and evening, and on Sunday, as the overnight models show better…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 11, 2017 at 9:06am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Thursday, August 10, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The moist westerly flow continues, and we'll see another fairly active weather day. The models continue to show a little drier and somewhat more stable air mass this weekend, but not sure I trust it. I do expect a decrease in the thunderstorm coverage, but I still believe we'll see a couple in the area each afternoon, and even an increase by early next week.

Joe says: A Low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 4 pm, followed by a Moderate chance from then to 8 pm…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 10, 2017 at 8:44am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Joe Nicholls

There's some impressive rainfall totals from across the area yesterday, so it was good to hit the forecast hard. The data this morning continues to keep a really unstable air mass over us today and tomorrow, so I kept it very busy in the weather department! We do dry the air mass some Friday, and drier with a more stable air mass over the weekend. This should limit the development to just isolated activity.

Joe's prediction for today is a Low chance from Noon to 4…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 9, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Tuesday, August 8, 2017

Joe Nicholls

A weak upper level low pressure is over the Great Basin this morning and will be moving slowly eastward today and tomorrow. The air mass over us is moist, and becomes fairly unstable later this morning thru early evening, and again looking really unstable tomorrow afternoon with the lifted index coming in at -4! We'll begin the drying out process to the air mass Thursday through the weekend, but still a chance of a couple of thunderstorms each afternoon.

Joe is of…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 8, 2017 at 9:00am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for, Monday, August 7, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The moisture is pooling over the region, so a lot of clouds over the next couple of days with an increase in showers and thunderstorms. I expect some areas of heavier rainfall, especially near the thunderstorms. A gradual decrease in the activity at the end of the week and next weekend, but still a chance each afternoon or early evening. 

Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from Noon to 4 pm, a moderate chance from 4 pm to 8 pm, and a low chance from…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 7, 2017 at 8:55am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for, Friday, August 4, 2017

NOAA - Steamboat Springs

Today - Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 81. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight - Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday - A 20 percent chance of showers and…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 4, 2017 at 8:38am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for, Thursday, August 3, 2017

Joe Nicholls

A fair amount of cloudiness over the area this morning, and I expect we'll see an increase in activity fairly early today with the lifted index to -3 prior to noon. The air mass isn't super saturated, so rainfall amounts, if any, will be light. We should see minimal activity tomorrow and Saturday, but I'm going to move the timing up on the convective activity to Sunday and that increase will last into the coming week. The high pressure is shifting away from the area with…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 3, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for, Wednesday, August 2, 2017

Joe Nicholls

We’ll see a weak front settle into the area later today through midday on Thursday, and should be just strong enough to generate a couple of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. A little drier air mass Friday and Saturday, so anything that develops will be isolated. I do see more of an increase in moisture and a chance of thunderstorms increasing early next week.

Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from 4 pm to Midnight.

NOAA - Steamboat…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 2, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Colorado Day, Tuesday, August 1, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The high pressure is moving a little further northwest of the area with a fairly weak front moving across us tomorrow and Thursday bringing a slight increase in a chance of a thunderstorm. I think today will be similar to yesterday, when we developed a couple of cells, but they decreased fairly rapidly. The moisture will increase later Sunday into early next week, bringing another increase in the chance of thunderstorms.

Joe is calling for a low chance of…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on August 1, 2017 at 8:28am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Monday, July 31, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The high pressure is strengthening over the West with our flow more from the north and northeast, so we're drying out the air mass. We could see an isolated thunderstorm, but these would have high bases with mainly gusty winds and lightning, and these would be very brief. A slight increase in the thunderstorm coverage on Wednesday and Thursday, b ut certainly not a big surge of moisture.



NOAA - Steamboat Springs

Today - Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 31, 2017 at 9:05am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Friday, July 28, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The satellite images show a system over east central Nevada and into northern Utah that the models are handling poorly. This system should bring a little lift to the air mass later this afternoon and evening, so I'll keep the showers and thunderstorms in the forecast. As I look at the pattern through the weekend, and into early next week, I see enough moisture and instability for a chance of a shower or thunderstorm each afternoon and evening with a little more acitivty…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 28, 2017 at 8:59am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Thursday, July 27, 2017

Joe Nicholls

The air mass is a little more stable today, so I keep the activity at a minimum, and more isolated, but there's a chance of a thunderstorm just about every afternoon and early evening. The chance is higher next Monday and Tuesday, as we're a little more unstable and have just a little extra lift.

Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from 4 pm to Midnight.

NOAA - Steamboat Springs

Today - A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 27, 2017 at 8:30am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Joe Nicholls

We've seen some decent rainfall amounts in the area over the last 24 hours, and the air mass remains moist and unstable to support more showers and thunderstorms today. Clouds and mainly some light showers this morning and early afternoon, then the potentially heavier showers and thunderstorms mid to late afternoon. The trend through Saturday will be for decreasing activity, but the models do keep enough moisture and instability for a couple of afternoon and evening…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 26, 2017 at 8:44am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Joe Nicholls

I'm seeing a couple of fairly active weather days with the moist, unstable air mass and with a fairly weak air flow, we should see some areas of decent rainfall, especially near any thunderstorms. The clouds will also keep the temperatures held down. We should dry out and stablize Friday and Saturday, then back into the isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm cov erage on Sunday.

Joe is calling for a low chance of thunderstorms from 9 am to 4 pm, a moderate…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 25, 2017 at 9:30am — No Comments

Joe Nicholls and NOAA Forecast for Tuesday, July 11, 2017

Joe Nicholls

Shaping up to be another fairly active weather day with the lifted index of -3 by late morning or early afternoon, and a weak upper level system over Utah that is expected to move across us today. A little more stable tomorrow with the passage of this system, but I don't think we totally get rid of the chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm through the weekend. I do see the air mass warming up again. Welcome to summer!

Joe is calling for a moderate chance…

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Added by Kent Kirkpatrick on July 11, 2017 at 8:39am — No Comments

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